Home Price Trends: Case‑Shiller Index Analysis & Six‑Month Forecast
Indicator Overview: The Case‑Shiller Home Price Index tracks property values across major metropolitan areas. Following double‑digit gains in 2021‑2022, year‑over‑year growth cooled to mid‑single digits by mid‑2025. Regional disparities remain: the South and Midwest saw more moderate appreciation than high‑cost coastal markets.
Six‑Month Trend: Price appreciation decelerated as higher rates eroded affordability. Many markets saw prices flatten or slip slightly during fall 2025.
Six‑Month Forecast: Industry forecasts anticipate 2–4 % annualized price growth through mid‑2026. Continued tight supply should prevent major declines, but elevated rates and economic uncertainty will temper gains.
Note: The 6‑month trends chart is included on the Real Estate Market Indicators page. Please view there for the latest chart.
