MVRV / Valuation Bands

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MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) compares the current market capitalization to the “realized” value of coins based on their last moved price. High MVRV zones can indicate overextension; low zones can indicate undervaluation or capitulation conditions.

What this indicator is

A valuation framework that compares market value to realized value to highlight overbought/oversold conditions.

Why it matters

Valuation extremes often align with major cycle highs and lows. MVRV can help investors avoid chasing overheated conditions and recognize periods of long-term opportunity.

How to read it

  • Green: Below/near neutral valuation bands (better long-term risk/reward).
  • Yellow: Mid-band valuations (balanced conditions).
  • Red: High valuation bands (overextension risk).

12-Month History + 12-Month Projection Chart

Projection is directional; combine with trend and liquidity measures before acting.

MVRV valuation 12-month history and 12-month projection chart